Future Dilemmas: Energy, Food & Water

IDIS 491 – 3 credit hours
Course Instructor: Robert Doyle (physics & engineering)
Frostburg State University
University Honors Program
Maureen Connelly, Director


Course Description:  Our human civilization’s prospects are rather troubled. We are rapidly using up easily extracted fossil fuels, the legacy of hundreds of millions of years of buried plant and animal matter. Each year, fossil fuel combustion puts increasing amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, beyond the capacity of our plants and oceans to absorb it. The shift to renewable energy sources is achingly slow, particularly in industrial countries that use much more energy per capita than the developing world. Considering the sluggish pace of change, what are the likely energy sources in the mid-21st century? Since our steady supply of food relies on large amounts of fossil fuels for growing and transporting food, what foods will be available when energy costs are much higher? With increasing human populations across the globe, how will the available supplies of fresh water be stretched, particularly in developing countries with poor-quality water and rapid population growth. “Future Dilemmas” will use two texts, “The Party Is Over” by Richard Heinberg and “Plan B: 2.0” by Lester R. Brown. The first text outlines the central laws of energy, our history of energy extraction and likely scenarios of the future if our energy sources are not altered. “Plan B: 2.0” by Brown outlines strategies that will take our society towards sustainable living in regard to energy, food and water.

Texts
Richard Heinberg. 2005. The Party Is Over: Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial
Societies
. New Society Books.
Lester R. Brown. 2006. Plan B 2.0: Rescuing a Planet Under Stress and a Civilization in Trouble. Norton.

Syllabus

Date Topic
Week 1

Course Opening - Planetarium Presentation: "Report on Planet Earth," Class Discussion

For next class, read "Introduction," The Party Is Over; go over discussion questions

Week 2

Student Questionnaire; Watch “The End of Suburbia” documentary, featuring
Heinberg and others; Class Discussion on documentary and The Party Is Over "Introduction"

For next 2 classes, read The Party is Over Chapter One ("Energy, Nature & Society)
Prepare for next 2 classes by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 3

Thermodynamic Basics; Life forms in terms of mobility, energy sources;Ecology essentials including 1/10, carrying capacity, cycles, types of species
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

Week 4

Ways that humans have expanded their carrying capacity: takeover, tools,
specialization, drawdown, complexity, and collapse; Factors leading to success of
American society

Discussion Questions, followed by group discussion/presentations
For next 2 classes, read The Party is Over Ch.2 ("Agriculture & Fossil Fuel Eras"

Prepare for next 2 classes by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 5

Agricultural Era; Coal; Electrification; The Two Phases of Petroleum; Energy in
Warfare; Transformation and Agriculture; Discussion Questions & Group Presentations

Week 6

The Oil Era – Part One 1950-1980; Part Two 1980 to 9/11/01
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
For next class, read The Party is Over Ch. 3 ("Lights Out – Hubbert & Peak
Oil")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 7

9/11; Iraq War and outcome; M. King Hubbert; Predictions for peak oil;
Hubbert insights extended; Cornucopians and other naysayers
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

For next class, read The Party is Over Ch. 4 ("Non-Petroleum Energy Sources")
Prepare for next 2 classes by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 8

Conventional energy sources – Natural gas, coal and nuclear
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

Week 9

Other sources – wind, photovoltaic, hydrogen, hydroelectric, geothermal, fusion; Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

For next class, read The Party is Over Ch. 5 ("Adjusting to Low Energy Way of Life")
Prepare for next 2 classes by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 10

Basic needs – food, heat/cool, transportation, environment, health & information
Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

Week 11

National, political, & social consequences; Global upheavals with energy decline Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
For next 2 classes, read Party Over Ch. 6, Afterword ("Managed Shrinkage & Likelihoods")

Prepare for next 2 classes by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 12

Managed shrinkage applied to home, community, nation, and globe
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

Week 13

A plea for realism; Saudi enigma; Oil reserve games; Latest studies; Hope for
technological miracle; Electing new kinds of leaders
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations

Week 14

Short story due on 2059 family, Midterm Exam on Party’s Over – Intro, Chs.1-6

For next class, read Plan B 2.0 – Chapter One ("A New World")
Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 15

Midterm return; Humanity’s demands on nature vs. nature’s regeneration;
Societal collapses in past; Plan B being tried by a few countries; Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Chpt.3 ("Emerging Water Shortages")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions
Class

Week 16

Descending water levels; Dwindling rivers & lakes; Effects on agriculture & fish
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch.4 ("Warming & Consequences")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 17

Rising temperatures; Melting glaciers & polar ice; Sea rise; Storm strengthening
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch.5 ("Natural Systems Stressed")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 18

Shrinking forests; Topsoil loss; Collapsing fisheries; Disappearing species
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 6 ("Signs of Early Decline")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 19 Our social divisions; Health challenges; Resource conflicts & refugees
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Week 20

Exam on Plan B 2.0, Chs.1,3,4,5, 6
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 7 ("Eradicating Poverty and Stabilizing Population")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 21

Universal basic education; Stabilizing population; Improving health; HIV/AIDS;
Reducing farm subsidies & debt; Poverty eradication financing
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 8 ("Restoring the Earth")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 22

Bringing back forests; Water needs for nature; Restoring fisheries;
Protecting plant and animal diversity; The cost for restoration
Discussion Questions followed by group discussion and group presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 9 ("Feeding Seven Billion [Humans] Well")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 23

Improving land productivity; Better use of water; Getting more protein;
Moving down the food chain; Discussion Questions & Group Presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch.10 ("Stabilizing Climate")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 24

Higher energy efficiency; Harnessing the wind; Hybrid cars; Solar cells;
Geothermal energy; Cutting carbon emissions; Discussion Questions & Group Presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 11 ("Designing Sustainable Cities")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 25

City ecology; Better urban transport; City farming; Reducing urban water use;
Dealing with urban slums; Bringing nature into cities; Discussion & Presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 12 ("Building a New Economy")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 26

Shifting taxes; Subsidies; Ecolabeling (natural products); Material recycling;
Some natural disasters as wake-up calls; Discussion & Group Presentations
Read Plan B 2.0 – Ch. 13 ("Building a New Future")

Prepare for next class by preparing answers to discussion questions

Week 27 Tipping points in the environment; Mobilization to assure the future; What
individuals can do; Discussion Questions & Group Presentations
Week 28 Short story on family in 2109 due; Exam on Plan B 2.0 Chs.7-13

Grading Policy:

In most regular classes (24), there will be a set of discussion questions on the readings posted on Blackboard that relate to the reading for that class as well as group presentations based on situations related to the readings. A student may earn up to 10 points per class for his/her contribution to the discussion and group presentations. These class points will be posted on blackboard.

There are 3 exams each worth 100 points.

There are 2 short stories of at least 2,000 words where a family is portrayed in the context of the material presented in the text readings. Each typed short story will be graded on clarity, creativity, and the usual norms for papers. Each short story is worth up to 50 points. Both the short story scores and test scores will be posted in a timely manner on Blackboard.

The maximum point total will be 240+300+100 = 640. To allow for a few absences, the point totals for the final course grades are adjusted to:

Above 539 = A
539-480 = B
479-420 = C
419-360 = D
Below 360 = F

Paper Policy: Papers are due on dates given in syllabus. Since the papers are based more on a grasp of the readings than a laborious process of citing references, multiple drafts, etc. there will be no extensions. The papers are submitted as typed, double-spaced pages numbered with a title and author name prominently displayed on top of page 1. If there are a number of characters, it would be helpful to a have a list of characters, with each character briefly described, particularly in terms of their relation to each other. In exceptional cases, the papers may be sent electronically to the instructor the day of the previous class (before paper is due).

Contact person: Robert Doyle, RDoyle@frostburg.edu